Last poll before election predicts another Labour landslide

The last poll coming out before the general election on 26th March shows the Labour Party winning by a very large margin yet again.

The poll was conducted by veteran pollster Vincent Marmara, who has been at the centre of recent controversy with questions raised over who is paying for the regular expensive surveys he carries out for L-Orizzont, a newspaper published by the General Workers Union, which has close ties to the Labour Party.

The statistician predicts that the PL will get 55.9 per cent of votes, significantly more than the 42.8 per cent received by the Nationalist Party.

This would mean that the PL would have improved its margin by 0.9 per cent over the last general election in 2017, while the PN’s share would have decreased by 0.9 per cent.

All told, this would mean a landslide victory by 39,000 votes for the PL.

Third parties and independents remain relatively unpopular, with only 1.3 per cent of voters indicating they would vote for any of the various options, which include liberal and left-leaning ADPD and Volt and conservative and right-leaning Partit Popolari and ABBA.

The other standout figure to emerge from the poll is that voter turnout is expected to reach a record low, with only 88 per cent of eligible voters turning out to vote. Turnout has never before dipped below 90 per cent.

Around 3.8 per cent of voters who backed Labour in 2017 will not be voting, compared to 2.7 per cent of PN voters.

The statistician surveyed 1,800 respondents between 18th and 23rd March for the poll, which comes with a +/- 2.3 per cent margin of error and 95 per cent confidence interval.